Letter From America (About Detroit)

Letter From America (About Detroit)

The Downfall of Detroit

It took only six decades of “progressive” policies to bring a great city to its knees.

Douglas Wilson’s Letter From America

A Drunk Trying to Make the Next Lamp Post

Posted on Friday, July 19, 2013  

The old Bobby Bare song, Detroit City, has a refrain that centered on the desire to “go home.” Unfortunately, everywhere else is turning into Detroit City. Pretty soon there will be no home to go to.
Detroit’s bankruptcy, announced yesterday, gives us an opportunity to go over a few fiscal realities, always a good idea if you are careening toward a whole series of fiscal reality checks.

The first thing we must grasp is that we are dealing with levels of municipal debt, state-level debt, and federal debt, that mean a necessary default is coming. If our problems are left untended, we will default. If we wake up in time, and address the pending problem, we will default. This is another way of saying that every genuine solution to the problems created by our fiscal irresponsibility will be a form of default. The only solutions now are defaulting solutions.

The only thing we don’t know is what kind of default it will be. The only thing we don’t know is who the unlucky victim of our defaulting will be.

Government does not make wealth.
If government has wealth, then this means it was taken. The only way that the government can acquire the means to pay its obligations and debts is by taking it. The only question left before the house is “who will they take it from?” There are a limited number of options.

When a politician says that we cannot allow our government to default on its solemn obligations, he either believes what he says, and is a fool, or he knows what he is saying is false, and wants us to believe that we must avoid Default A, which is what he is really talking about, and must select from defaults b, c, d, and e, which he does not really consider defaults “technically,” because the people who are going to get hosed by them are not part of his constituency.

The government does not make, and in order to have, must therefore take. Here are the basic ways in which such a taking can happen. The government can wage war on other countries, and take from them. The government can raise taxes, and take that way. The government can debase the currency, and take that way. The government can run up a big debt which it finds itself unable to pay, and take that way. And of course, given the realities of the ongoing political circus, the government can stagger between these options, like a drunk trying to make it to the next lamp post.

Beware of those reforms that hide the reality of the defaulting. Those kinds of reforms are probably the best way of proceeding, but only if they are honestly embraced as the least destructive way of defaulting. But don’t hold your breath. The government lies. The government cheats. The government welshes. The government steals. The government defaults, and hides it.

For example, if the retirement age for Social Security is extended by two years, this does make the program viable longer on paper. It does this by unilaterally changing the terms of a contract — by defaulting. It may be better than doubling down on the current lunacy and having the whole thing go up in a sheet of flame, but it is not better because it isn’t defaulting. It is just as much a default, but it may be less damaging to the recipient.
If you pay your creditor 50 cents on the dollar, that is a default. It does less harm to him than paying him 10 cents on the dollar, which in its turn is not as bad as paying him nothing at all.

Detroit is now defaulting on its bond holders, its pension holders, et al. Look at it straight on — it is hard to make out, but a line has formed and we are trying to make out who is next. Is it California? Illinois? New York? There are municipalities in there too. And if this spectacle becomes too grim, and a demand arises for the federal government to “do something,” this will just be an example of people opting for the coast-to-coast sheet of flame default, instead of the piecemeal approach.

One last thing. I would like to address a few words to those evangelicals who have been seduced by leftist economics, or who are in some way flirting with leftist economics. You may have cannonballed into the deep end, like Jim Wallis, or you may just be sidling sheepishly in that direction, with some cover provided by distributist literature. You think that the language of compassion is more biblical, and the idea of communitarian sharing makes you feel warm all over. You think that businessmen who know how to add and subtract are those who are in the grip of mammon-lust. You don’t like the hard lines of clear thinking, and the blinking sums on their calculators do nothing but harsh your mellow.

Do me a favor, and look at Detroit. Look at the failure of all the compassionate nostrums. Look at the collapse of real integrity. Look at the grasping and demented idiocy of the unions. Look at the abandonment of government’s true functions. Look at the wreckage of human lives. Look at the ruin of a once great city. Look at what aching greedlust does. Behold the handiwork of your compassion.

Look at what mammon in sheep’s clothing can do.

Reality Checks

Taking the Hit

Detroit has filed for bankruptcy.  To those who have followed such things it will come as no surprise.  It is not the first and it will not be the last–but it is notable, just the same.  It is the biggest US city ever so to file.  According to The Guardian,

The filing sets a new record for municipal bankruptcies and dwarfs the previous record filings by Jefferson County, Alabama, and Stockton, California. No other city of Detroit’s size has ever gone bust.

The causes of this final act are strikingly obvious.  But because the end has come after a lingering terminal decline folks assumed that because it did not happen quickly, it would never happen.  The bigger fools of the next generation would always be there to take the accumulated burdens of their predecessors.  What was the problem?  Municipal overspending led to growing debt which the city can no longer service, nor repay.  It was passed on to bigger fools.  It is like every bankruptcy.
 

There are two major classes of creditor: municipal bond holders (who lent the city money) and workers who are “owed” pensions.  Neither will ever see much, if any, of their money again.  The buck passed to others for decades has finally stopped with them.  They will take the fall.  Then, possibly, a new city will emerge.  But only if lessons are learned, and learned well.
 

[Michigan Governor] Snyder said he hoped the bankruptcy would be the beginning of the end of Detroit’s woes. “This decision comes in the wake of 60 years of decline in the city, a period in which reality was often ignored. I know that many will see this as a low point in the city’s history. If so, I think it will also be the foundation of the city’s future,” he wrote.

Where has the problem lain?  Clearly and most obviously, the US auto industry has been challenged by cheaper, better vehicle competition, particularly from Asia.  But the auto-industry is heavily unionised and has resisted change.  Competing auto companies preferred to set up manufacturing plants in states where unions could not dominate.  The resulting lower wage costs meant lower costs of production, which meant a growing market share for Toyota, Honda and the like.  The city of Detroit could no longer count on the Big Three US automakers being the geese to lay golden eggs for the city.  Repeatedly the US auto industry has gone begging to the taxpayer for handouts and bailouts.  Venal politicians, with eyes upon the next election and their career, were willingly complicit.  

But in the meantime, the city had committed to golden handshake payouts to municipal workers, along with high remuneration.  Retirement at middle age, with golden pensions, became the norm for police, firemen, and other municipal employees.  This has been the result of a city’s work force controlled by labour unions over decades.  The strike-threat system worked a treat.  The city began to run deficits.  Its losses had to be funded by borrowing.  Spend, borrow, hope became a way of life. 

Meanwhile, the city began to shrink as citizens migrated to other cities and other states for work.  But the costs, being locked in through labour contracts, did not diminish much.  Result?  Lower tax revenue, bigger deficits, more borrowing.  The circling, downward spiral became vicious.  No way out. 

All of this was easily predictable.  It was foreseen by many.  But only fools and horses think they can defy financial and fiscal common-sense forever.  If the city and the unions and the politicians had acted responsibly and sooner, it would never have come to this.  But ultimately the folly and irresponsibility was sanctioned by the citizens themselves.  Debt is a form of slavery.  Perpetuating debt is perpetual slavery.  Detroit and its citizens were perpetually enslaved a long time ago.  But the chains were invisible to them, such has been their moral torpor.  No longer.  They are now clearly visible.  They are heavy.  They cannot be unshackled–at least, not without gnawing, lingering pain. 

But for Detroit’s poor, bankruptcy is likely to make life even harder in the short term. About 60% of Detroit’s children live in poverty. Orr had planned to bus creditors to some of the city’s poorest areas so they could see what was at stake. Armed security would have gone along for the ride.

“If they can see what it’s like for Detroiters, what they endure every day in this city, I think they’ll begin to understand what’s at stake,” Orr told the Detroit Free Press. The tour was canceled as bankers became worried about the PR impact of captains of finance touring the city’s poorest neighbourhoods.

Detroit screams out to us all: “Look on my works, you mighty and be afraid.”